Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.008514 0.009993 0.011766 0.014081 0.017075 0.020892 0.026258
2025-10-12 0.006751 0.008553 0.010968 0.014561 0.020008 0.028405 0.043396
2025-10-19 0.005613 0.007445 0.010077 0.014345 0.021577 0.034465 0.062710
2025-10-26 0.004933 0.006781 0.009584 0.014463 0.023571 0.042144 0.092467
2025-11-02 0.004360 0.006153 0.008988 0.014201 0.024726 0.048839 0.128909
2025-11-09 0.003817 0.005483 0.008192 0.013371 0.024436 0.052138 0.161184
2025-11-16 0.003408 0.004973 0.007578 0.012732 0.024328 0.055913 0.204219
2025-11-23 0.003190 0.004741 0.007405 0.012906 0.026139 0.066554 0.314526
2025-11-30 0.002946 0.004440 0.007062 0.012652 0.026812 0.074276 0.447024
2025-12-07 0.002709 0.004125 0.006652 0.012176 0.026749 0.079465 0.599352
2025-12-14 0.002536 0.003904 0.006392 0.011981 0.027418 0.088510 0.906073
2025-12-21 0.002458 0.003845 0.006434 0.012487 0.030391 0.112079 2.103155
2025-12-28 0.002417 0.003861 0.006655 0.013556 0.036099 0.164838 14.536792
2026-01-04 0.002316 0.003759 0.006625 0.014009 0.040128 0.222240 1103.587535
2026-01-11 0.002174 0.003564 0.006371 0.013804 0.041523 0.264879 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002072 0.003435 0.006241 0.013917 0.044433 0.341773 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001955 0.003267 0.006005 0.013668 0.045597 0.407437 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001814 0.003041 0.005615 0.012880 0.043714 0.415550 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001697 0.002855 0.005300 0.012273 0.042531 0.436894 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001638 0.002781 0.005236 0.012439 0.045636 0.589010 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001560 0.002664 0.005057 0.012197 0.046357 0.698372 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001476 0.002529 0.004825 0.011745 0.045605 0.759041 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001413 0.002434 0.004680 0.011559 0.046464 0.917772 NaN